Upper GI Bleeding — Rebleeding & Mortality Prediction
Predicts risk of rebleeding and in-hospital mortality after upper GI haemorrhage. Computed in two stages: pre-endoscopy (clinical) and post-endoscopy (adds endoscopic findings). Range 0–11.
Pre-endoscopy (max 7 pts): Age + Shock + Comorbidity
Post-endoscopy (add max 4 pts): Diagnosis + Stigmata of recent haemorrhage (SRH)
Total range: 0–11
| Total Score | Risk | Rebleed Rate | Mortality |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Very Low | 4.9% | 0% |
| 1 | Low | 3.4% | 0% |
| 2 | Low | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| 3–4 | Intermediate | 11–14% | 2–5% |
| 5–6 | High | 24–33% | 11–18% |
| ≥ 7 | Very High | 42–44% | 23–41% |
Rates from Rockall et al. (1996) original derivation cohort (n=1625). Rates from score 0 and 1 are post-endoscopy.