Pre-Test Probability Assessment for PE
Stratifies clinical pre-test probability of pulmonary embolism to guide D-dimer testing and CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA). The two-level approach (PE likely / PE unlikely) is recommended for most clinical settings. Score range: 0–12.5 points.
Check all that apply to the current presentation.
| 3.0 pts | Clinical signs and symptoms of DVT (leg swelling, pain on deep palpation of leg veins) |
| 3.0 pts | PE is the #1 diagnosis, or equally likely as an alternative diagnosis |
| 1.5 pts | Heart rate >100 beats per minute |
| 1.5 pts | Immobilisation ≥3 consecutive days OR surgery within 4 weeks requiring general or regional anaesthesia |
| 1.5 pts | Previous objectively diagnosed DVT or PE |
| 1.0 pt | Haemoptysis |
| 1.0 pt | Malignancy: on treatment, treated in last 6 months, or receiving palliative care |
Maximum score = 12.5 points. The "PE as most likely diagnosis" criterion is intentionally subjective and requires clinical judgement.
| Score | Category | PE Prevalence | Recommended Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤4 | PE Unlikely | ~10% | D-dimer test. Negative D-dimer: PE excluded. Positive D-dimer: proceed to CTPA. |
| >4 | PE Likely | ~35% | CTPA directly (do not wait for D-dimer). Start anticoagulation if delay expected. |
Two-level model validated by Christopher study (Ann Intern Med 2006) and YEARS algorithm. Preferred approach in most guidelines.
| Score | Category | PE Prevalence | Recommended Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | Low Probability | ~3.4% | D-dimer (high-sensitivity). Negative: PE excluded. Positive: CTPA. |
| 2–6 | Moderate Probability | ~27.8% | D-dimer. Negative: PE excluded. Positive: CTPA. |
| ≥7 | High Probability | ~78.4% | CTPA directly. Start empirical anticoagulation if CTPA is delayed. |